Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.059100 2.383926 2.741060 3.162546 3.646098 4.183227 4.824871
2025-03-02 1.498728 1.895499 2.369313 2.975763 3.730330 4.637250 5.809074
2025-03-09 1.195286 1.633913 2.197035 2.970609 4.003216 5.331481 7.167101
2025-03-16 0.946648 1.388685 1.994608 2.881745 4.142942 5.866435 8.394752
2025-03-23 0.833505 1.302392 1.983775 3.039466 4.626198 6.913056 10.447950
2025-03-30 0.728548 1.206597 1.939597 3.135643 5.026914 7.887588 12.523759
2025-04-06 0.625163 1.093300 1.847956 3.140104 5.281653 8.668506 14.401641
2025-04-13 0.511347 0.942158 1.670690 2.976707 5.240002 8.973513 15.558378
2025-04-20 0.461942 0.892274 1.652115 3.071700 5.632222 10.018202 18.042242
2025-04-27 0.428808 0.865574 1.668416 3.226975 6.144203 11.317953 21.107575
2025-05-04 0.389161 0.819648 1.642170 3.298826 6.511542 12.401589 23.910071
2025-05-11 0.350427 0.768899 1.598759 3.330240 6.803771 13.376644 26.617448
2025-05-18 0.302336 0.692645 1.497546 3.240354 6.862837 13.947738 28.681336
2025-05-25 0.255408 0.610761 1.372546 3.083520 6.766316 14.206775 30.170072
2025-06-01 0.229791 0.571893 1.332184 3.098796 7.026258 15.202158 33.254381
2025-06-08 0.200394 0.519089 1.253340 3.018219 7.070005 15.758990 35.497510
2025-06-15 0.191955 0.515337 1.284719 3.190650 7.692968 17.605544 40.697162
2025-06-22 0.179831 0.500257 1.287302 3.296055 8.176942 19.205280 45.539646
2025-06-29 0.163368 0.471035 1.251353 3.303498 8.432561 20.325788 49.434952
2025-07-06 0.139880 0.418685 1.149823 3.133475 8.238693 20.398413 50.928679
2025-07-13 0.131977 0.408238 1.154252 3.234238 8.726118 22.116254 56.490557
2025-07-20 0.127353 0.406423 1.181245 3.398010 9.394087 24.339119 63.514688
2025-07-27 0.119435 0.393440 1.175931 3.473888 9.843117 26.074855 69.527757